Flood Forecasting using
Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

Dushyant Patel; Dr. Falguni Parekh

doi:https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V12P295

Research Article | Open Access | Download PDF

Volume 12 | Number 3 | Year 2014 | Article Id. IJETT-V12P295 | DOI : https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V12P295

Flood Forecasting using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

Dushyant Patel , Dr. Falguni Parekh

Citation :

Dushyant Patel , Dr. Falguni Parekh, "Flood Forecasting using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT), vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 510-515, 2014. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V12P295

Abstract

The aim of the present study is to explore applicability of artificial intelligence techniques such as ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) in forecasting flood for the case study, Dharoi Dam on the Sabarmati river near village Dharoi in Kheralu Taluka of Mehsana District in Gujarat State, India. The proposed technique combines the learning ability of neural network with the transparent linguistic representation of fuzzy system. ANFIS models with various input structures and membership functions are constructed, trained and tested to evaluate the models. Statistical indices such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Correlation Coefficient (R), Coefficient of Determination (R2) and Discrepancy Ratio (D) are used to evaluate performance of the ANFIS models in forecasting flood. This objective is accomplished by evaluating the model by comparing ANFIS model to Statistical method like Log Pearson type-III method to forecasting flood. This comparison shows that ANFIS model can accurately and reliably be used to forecast flood in this study.

Keywords

Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System, Flood forecasting, Statistical method.

References

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